DFS Report: July 31, 2025

The DFS Report is Sharp Baseball’s guide to navigating today’s fantasy baseball slate.

The DFS Report includes ballpark factors, weather, and projections on the day’s best offenses and pitchers.

Top 6 Offenses (Implied Total)

  • Cincinnati Reds 6
  • New York Yankees 4
  • Tampa Bay Rays 4
  • Atlanta Braves 3.5
  • Seattle Mariners 4.5
  • Texas Rangers 3

Best Parks/Weather

Parks and weather that are most likely to boost scoring. The percentage is over an average game.

  • ATL/CIN +6%
  • TBR/NYY +1%

Everything Being Equal (Neutral Projection)

The best offense projections without weather or park factors.

  • Cincinnati Reds 5.28
  • Tampa Bay Rays 4.76
  • Seattle Mariners 4.51
  • New York Yankees 4.5
  • Atlanta Braves 3.88

Best Targets (Match-up)

The starters most likely to give up runs today.

  • Marcus Stroman 4.5 FIP
  • Carlos Carrasco 5.14 FIP
  • Ryan Pepiot 4.16 FIP
  • Kumar Rocker 4.06 FIP
  • Andrew Abbott 4.13 FIP

Best Starters (Match-up)

The starters with the lowest projected runs allowed/best match-up.

  • George Kirby 3.3 FIP
  • Andrew Abbott 4.13 FIP
  • Kumar Rocker 4.06 FIP
  • Ryan Pepiot 4.16 FIP
  • Carlos Carrasco 5.14 FIP

Best Starters (Strikeouts)

The starters with the highest strikeout projection. Pitcher K% versus offense K%.

  • Ryan Pepiot 9.22 K/9
  • George Kirby 8.62 K/9
  • Andrew Abbott 8.51 K/9
  • Kumar Rocker 8.82 K/9
  • Carlos Carrasco 7.46 K/9

Homer Happy Starters (ZiPS Projection)

The starters most likely to give up a home run. Pitcher HR/9 vs. offense ISO.

  • Carlos Carrasco 1.74 HR/9
  • Ryan Pepiot 1.3 HR/9
  • Marcus Stroman 1.16 HR/9
  • Kumar Rocker 1.27 HR/9
  • George Kirby 1.06 HR/9

All Starters (2025 Stats)

All Offenses (System Total)

The System’s run projection for each team.

  • Cincinnati Reds 5.3
  • New York Yankees 4.66
  • Tampa Bay Rays 4.53
  • Atlanta Braves 3.96
  • Seattle Mariners 3.94
  • Texas Rangers 3.32

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